| Posted by: xtreme_calibur at October 13, 2007, 2:30 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by zachvac
Had to do something during math class
that incinuates that your still in school. so why you play poker? how old are you, 12? your mother is going to ground you dude!!
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: DaFrench1 at October 12, 2007, 3:54 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Forget the true odds. I get that flop about 3 times per hour, its almost a guarantee if you have AK. Sounds like easy money to me .
What site is this btw?
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: zachvac at October 12, 2007, 3:28 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by xtreme_calibur
wow zach, you REALLY have way too much time on your hands!
Had to do something during math class
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: zachvac at October 12, 2007, 3:24 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by robwhufc
All wasted because he didn't take 10 seconds to check he was calculating from the right figure! It was 33,000/1 (33,150/1) actually, not 23,000/1.
(and £50 = $100).
Actually I wasn't, if you play 23,000 hands, the odds are greater than 50% that you will see that 1 in 33,150.
(1-(1/33150))^23000 = .49966 < .5
The odds of that flop NOT coming up 23000 in a row (meaning you don't win any of those 23,000 times) is 49.966% meaning you win 50.03% of the time.
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: robwhufc at October 12, 2007, 2:55 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by xtreme_calibur
wow zach, you REALLY have way too much time on your hands!
All wasted because he didn't take 10 seconds to check he was calculating from the right figure! It was 33,000/1 (33,150/1) actually, not 23,000/1.
(and £50 = $100).
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: Dorkus Malorkus at October 12, 2007, 2:30 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by ChuckTs
I think it would be (4/52)*(1/51)*(1/50) which is about a 33000:1 shot.
BUT 50 POUNDS!
woo 0.15 pence equity per hand!
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: xtreme_calibur at October 12, 2007, 2:10 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by zachvac
That means if you play 23000 hands over those 3 days, the odds are you will see a flop like that.
That's 7667 hands per day, so if you play 24 hours a day, you just have to play 320 hands per hour, easy if you want to multi-table. I don't know how much 50 pounds is in American currency, but you could 9-table 24/7 for 3 days and probably have close to a 75% chance of winning, because 9-tabling puts you over 320 hands per hour. And since it's 50 pounds regardless of stakes, just sit in on the lowest stakes they offer
wow zach, you REALLY have way too much time on your hands!
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: zachvac at October 12, 2007, 1:55 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by ChuckTs
I think it would be (4/52)*(1/51)*(1/50) which is about a 33000:1 shot.
BUT 50 POUNDS!
That means if you play 23000 hands over those 3 days, the odds are you will see a flop like that.
That's 7667 hands per day, so if you play 24 hours a day, you just have to play 320 hands per hour, easy if you want to multi-table. I don't know how much 50 pounds is in American currency, but you could 9-table 24/7 for 3 days and probably have close to a 75% chance of winning, because 9-tabling puts you over 320 hands per hour. And since it's 50 pounds regardless of stakes, just sit in on the lowest stakes they offer
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: xtreme_calibur at October 12, 2007, 10:36 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by robwhufc
9/1
way to be a sport ther rob, even though i do sense a lil' sarcasm...
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: skd1337 at October 12, 2007, 8:31 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by guy incognito
what are the odds of this.....
sitting in a tournament, full table. in the space of just 17 hands, i have a straight three times and bet all the way through to the river. Only two players left each time (myself and illian), and my three straights are beaten by the same guy, each time with a (one-card) higher straight.
bastard
fascinating reading, but is it relevant? its a thread about a promotion, not a place for annoying beats.
Sorry if that sounds really cynical, it's not meant to.
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: guy incognito at October 12, 2007, 8:24 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
what are the odds of this.....
sitting in a tournament, full table. in the space of just 17 hands, i have a straight three times and bet all the way through to the river. Only two players left each time (myself and illian), and my three straights are beaten by the same guy, each time with a (one-card) higher straight.
bastard
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: robwhufc at October 12, 2007, 8:03 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
This is a promotion i received from a site
This Friday, Saturday and Sunday, if 8-4-6 suited appears on the flop (in that order!) while you’re playing a real-money cash game, we will reward every player in that hand with a £50 CASH REWARD!*
Remember, you must be playing a real-money cash game and only the flop card combinations as shown on the right will qualify.
If you qualify for the £50 reward you will receive a confirmation email from us, and your account will be credited on Monday 15th October.
It’s all in the luck of the draw!
Don’t forget, you can watch it, play on it,
maybe even star on it...
So what are the odds of flopping 8,4,6 suited (in that order) in any one hand?
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: mrrigel at July 13, 2007, 2:57 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Best run of my life. A local bar has holdem night. First prize is 100 bucks, it's about the play more then the money. About a year ago it was a small game (25-30 players) and when it was down to 2 of us left I got dealt AA 3 times in a row. He had 5x my stack before this run, and it was over with my favorite ictory of all time afterwards. I have won much more money elsewhere, but this I will always remember.
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: Chris_TC at July 13, 2007, 1:34 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by arkadiy
Of getting even 1 ace so many times in a row?
The probability of getting dealt an ace five times in a row is 0.009% or 11,110:1.
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: Cheezymadman at July 13, 2007, 5:37 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
I got dealt Ah Ac two hands in a row in the freeroll I'm in now.
Quote:
PokerStars Game #10911514706: Tournament #54725902, Freeroll Hold'em No Limit - Level II (15/30) - 2007/07/13 - 00:49:23 (ET)
Table '54725902 183' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: Elmosdream (1260 in chips)
Seat 2: wldmstr2001 (1425 in chips)
Seat 3: drillin (1290 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 4: daviepoo2 (20 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 5: Finn Power (4570 in chips)
Seat 6: Saebbi (3370 in chips)
Seat 7: wieczny (2080 in chips)
Seat 8: SASKTERROR (1770 in chips)
Seat 9: Cheezymadman (1235 in chips)
Elmosdream: posts small blind 15
wldmstr2001: posts big blind 30
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Cheezymadman [Ac Ah]
drillin: folds
daviepoo2: folds
Finn Power: raises 90 to 120
Saebbi: folds
wieczny: calls 120
SASKTERROR: folds
Cheezymadman: raises 90 to 210
Elmosdream: folds
wldmstr2001: raises 90 to 300 | | Read Entire Entry |
| Posted by: combuboom at July 13, 2007, 5:34 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
I got pocket aces 2 hands in a row playing heads up once. On the 2nd one, the other guy got dealt QQ, and we were both slowplaying it to the turn lol. As you might guess, I busted him
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: arkadiy at July 13, 2007, 3:04 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Of getting even 1 ace so many times in a row? And hitting the ace every hand? And then even winning with it?! (folded the last one, didn't hit my ace or J with that one)
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: robwhufc at May 8, 2006, 3:48 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
The odds are dependant on how many players are in the hand. The odds of 3 players in a 10 player table flopping a flush each are much less than 3 players out of 3 flopping a flush.
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: gjshand at May 8, 2006, 1:31 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
I was not involved in this hand but if someone out there is good with odds and such you could maye tell me what the odds of this happening are.
I know the odds of one player flopping a flush is around 100-1 but 3 players?
** Dealing the flop: 9 of Hearts, 3 of Hearts, Queen of Hearts
lisisimagen checked
DrHansen bet - $0.60
Paha4 called - $0.60
lisisimagen raised - $3.60
DrHansen called - $3.60
Paha4 called - $3.60
** Dealing the turn: 8 of Clubs
lisisimagen went all-in - $12.91
DrHansen went all-in - $1.33
Paha4 went all-in - $10.20
lisisimagen shows: 6 of Hearts, 7 of Hearts
DrHansen shows: 8 of Hearts, 2 of Hearts
Paha4 shows: Ace of Hearts, King of Hearts
** Dealing the river: 4 of Clubs
Paha4 wins $15.69 from the main pot
Paha4 wins $33.43 from side pot 1
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: IrishDave at August 11, 2005, 12:40 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
His buddies were certainly drawing some cards. I had pocket kings busted by some crap and lost A-K s A-T, but that's poker and there's always another day...
PS: I made up for all my tourney thumpings over the weekend tonight on the .50/1.00 limit at Noble. Bunch of 12 year old kids with their raise button stuck. They may have been adults, but if so they need to go back to school...
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: xdmanx007 at August 11, 2005, 12:31 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by Four Dogs
Well, since I don't recall inflicting too much damage on you directly, you must be refering that jinx I hexed you with. Who says Harry Potter isn't educational.
LOL Harry Potter hell I am going to make a trip to Louisianna to see the oodoo priest to get that particular hex lifted. No cards saturday and just couldn't recover when your buddy called my fat raise with rags. Anyways make sure you hit me up for the next tourney!
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: Four Dogs at August 10, 2005, 12:23 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by xdmanx007
Now all I have to do is find a way to get some dam cards whenever Four Dogs is in the same game as me
Well, since I don't recall inflicting too much damage on you directly, you must be refering that jinx I hexed you with. Who says Harry Potter isn't educational.
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: xdmanx007 at August 10, 2005, 12:54 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by IrishDave
Damn XD, if I knew you were this smart I'd never have invited you to the private SNG. I am duly impressed by your mathematical ability and I'm sure you don't even need a calculator... Dave
True I don't need a calculator, when you play online you don't have time to do all the math every hand so best to memorize the most used ratios. Ratios are easier for me when it comes to comparing them to the pot. Percentages have an extra step that I just don't do. Now all I have to do is find a way to get some dam cards whenever Four Dogs is in the same game as me
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: johndoe at August 10, 2005, 12:27 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
As far as the odds you have 7 outs on the turn and 10 on the river overall u are about 2 to 1 to hit it so about the same as a flush draw or just slightly worse
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: nateofdeath at August 9, 2005, 11:13 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
thank you. i've gotten better at figuring out such things, but that one had me a little confused. but thank you
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: IrishDave at August 9, 2005, 5:49 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by xdmanx007
10 outs 3.6:1 turn 1.6:1 for both turn and river.
Damn XD, if I knew you were this smart I'd never have invited you to the private SNG. I am duly impressed by your mathematical ability and I'm sure you don't even need a calculator... Dave
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: JonSherwood at August 9, 2005, 5:44 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
If that doesn't make sense to you (ratio's make my brain quiver), approximately 21% all in all.
Jon
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: nateofdeath at August 9, 2005, 5:12 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
i have a quick question for all you players out there that are good at figuring out odds. I was playing a hand last night where i was all in on the flop. i had 10's in the hole and another on the flop, so i had a set. but there were also three hearts on the flop and my opponent had a flush. my question is, with two cards to go, what were my odds of the board pairing or catching the fourth ten for me to win the hand, and there was no straight ot straight flush possibility
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: robwhufc at August 1, 2005, 11:13 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
You should have folded when second j flopped blah blah blah! Seen hands like this too - consparacists (i've got to look up correct spelling of this word) would refer to it as an "action hand".
I would tend to think of it like this - there are hundreds of people on this site playing 100's of hands each week. One of us is bound to see something dodgy from time to time, (my favourite is 3 QQ's in 6 hands, followed by 3 33's in next 4 hands - also 2 consecutive 7777's). Although I dont agree with conspirisists (no that's not right either!), is it just me or is this more prevalent on Paradise???!!!!...
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: HoldemChamp at August 1, 2005, 3:32 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Not that uncommon. I have seen it more times than I would care to admit.
Sometimes it was me on the losing end with 2nd best of 3rd best hand. We can sit there and figure the odds and how unlikely that this kind of hand will happen. But, that won't prevent it from happening. I happens in spite of what the odds have to say.
Just like best hand losing to a suck out on the river. If you were to play 10,000's of hands will only begin to see how the odds bare out. Look for it in one tournament or even one short ring game session and you are unlikely to see anything.
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: xdmanx007 at August 1, 2005, 3:10 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Explanation is.... OH HELL NO not gonna stir that pot right now about odds anyway! Ummm Sorry about getting cornholded with no lubrication there... You are correct that exact hand would be ery unlikely to happen. If you are going to continue to play online you need to adjust your thinking to 1 of 2 ideals; online NL poker is rigged for higher rake and you should adjust your game accordingly or 2 that with billions of hands being dealt online you will see any and every possible card combination at some point in your online career.
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: Dorkus Malorkus at August 1, 2005, 12:44 am | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by Alon Ipser
I realize that people have done studies on the odds of hitting certain hands but those numbers can be manipulated so that they can put big hand against big hand and still remain in the norm. What I am saying is the odds for hitting a big hand goes up when someone else is holding a big hand and the odds go down when no one slse has a big hand.
This would still be detectable by a statistician who has a sample size larger than one single hand to base anything on. You lost a (admittedly freakish) hand, get over it and move on.
| | Static Link |
| Posted by: Alon Ipser at July 31, 2005, 11:50 pm | | Topic: What are the odds? Forum: Card Chat |
I just lost a monster pot at Paradise. I'm holding KK and K7J comes on the flop. 5 comes on the turn and then a J on the river. Betting has been heavy between 3 of us and is capped after river. The first guy turns over 77 for a fullhouse 7s full of Js. I have the fullhouse Ks full of Js. The last guy turns over JJ for 4 of a kind. Now everyone says these games aren't rigged but when was the last time you saw something like this in a live game. I realize that people have done studies on the odds of hitting certain hands but those numbers can be manipulated so that they can put big hand against big hand and still remain in the norm. What I am saying is the odds for hitting a big hand goes up when someone else is holding a big hand and the odds go down when no one slse has a big hand. In the end the odds average out. I am probably wrong but I am pissed off at the moment.
| | Static Link |
|