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Posted by: DrStrange at January 24, 2007, 11:00 am
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
Catching perfect runner-runner is ~1,250 to one. Most other runner-runner draws are in the 6% to 1% range. Having that happen five times in one session is really unlucky - but the exact odds aren't so easy to calculate since we don't know how many times you were exposed to that risk and won, nor do we know if the runner-runner losses were of the 1% type or 6% type.

Best I can say is it was REALLY unlucky. Time to take a break.

DrStrange
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Posted by: Pinos at January 23, 2007, 11:36 pm
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
Now, you guys seem very good calculating odds, what are the odds of loosing 5 times to runner, runner one of those being two perfect card hits? its in a 3 hour session 4 tabling. Add it if you may winning being dealt 4 times in a row KJ (diff suit comb) in the same table. It was a fucking weird night that costed me around $120 and i truly FELT cheated at towegaming, i know i wasn't but thats how i felt... i cashed out three days later when i was almost 200 down. That session was at 1/2.

Those beats i think costed me half the rest i monkeyed out
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Posted by: SlapDash at December 11, 2006, 2:24 am
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
RunningWave wrote: Since everyone is talking about crazy odds...I was at Sandia Casino in N.M. playing 3/6 with a half kill. Been playing for awhile and still about break even.

I hold 88 in BB and check as there were no raises into me. Flop is 889. I check and it checks around to the button who bets $3. I just call and the other two at the table fold.

Turn is nothing important. I lead out and get raised. I reraise and he reraises back. I raise again and he just calls.

Turn is a 9.

I bet he raises and this continues until I am all-in. He flips over 99 and my flopped quads lose to higher quads.

I was happy in a way as I was thinking I must have just picked up a nice payday off the BBJP...there wasn't one at this casino.

I left the casinio.

Ouch, rough one. The worst beats always seem to involve quads and I'm to say that I was actually the villain of the worst beat I've seen.

I was short stacked late stages of a ...
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Posted by: FourTeller at December 8, 2006, 5:43 pm
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
RunningWave wrote: He flips over 99 and my flopped quads lose to higher quads.

I was happy in a way as I was thinking I must have just picked up a nice payday off the BBJP...there wasn't one at this casino.

I left the casinio.
That is a truly funny/tragic story The last sentence especially struck me - not the typo, which I just noticed, but the simple finality of it.

FT
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FT
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Posted by: RunningWave at December 8, 2006, 2:29 pm
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
Since everyone is talking about crazy odds...I was at Sandia Casino in N.M. playing 3/6 with a half kill. Been playing for awhile and still about break even.

I hold 88 in BB and check as there were no raises into me. Flop is 889. I check and it checks around to the button who bets $3. I just call and the other two at the table fold.

Turn is nothing important. I lead out and get raised. I reraise and he reraises back. I raise again and he just calls.

Turn is a 9.

I bet he raises and this continues until I am all-in. He flips over 99 and my flopped quads lose to higher quads.

I was happy in a way as I was thinking I must have just picked up a nice payday off the BBJP...there wasn't one at this casino.

I left the casinio.
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Posted by: grimgrin at December 1, 2006, 8:52 am
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
I think Absolute is more a rock garden for limit than NL.
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If I can't smoke and swear, I'm fucked.
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Posted by: mike_m235 at November 30, 2006, 5:32 pm
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
m_reed05 wrote: I found myself in an interesting situation today. I decided to test the waters at $4 nl at Absolute, I still normally play at $2. Immediately I noticed something was incredibly wrong, err right. The guy to my immediately right was playing every single hand, and going to showdown on almost every hand. I mean the most hilarious hands, he has J2 calls a raise or raises himself, hits a deuce then calls to showdown. Okay so I'm sitting perfect just waiting to catch this guy.

It wasn't many hands before I looked at KK.

Absolute Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $2/$4
6 players

Stack sizes:
UTG: $198.20
UTG+1: $832.50
CO: $800
Button: $662.60
hero: $211
BB: $754

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is SB with ks kh
2 folds, CO (poster) checks, Button raises to $20, hero raises to $88, 2 folds, Button calls.

Flop: 5h :10s 8h ($184, 2 players)
hero is all-in $123, Button calls.
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Posted by: m_reed05 at November 30, 2006, 4:40 pm
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
I found myself in an interesting situation today. I decided to test the waters at $4 nl at Absolute, I still normally play at $2. Immediately I noticed something was incredibly wrong, err right. The guy to my immediately right was playing every single hand, and going to showdown on almost every hand. I mean the most hilarious hands, he has J2 calls a raise or raises himself, hits a deuce then calls to showdown. Okay so I'm sitting perfect just waiting to catch this guy.

It wasn't many hands before I looked at KK.

Absolute Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $2/$4
6 players

Stack sizes:
UTG: $198.20
UTG+1: $832.50
CO: $800
Button: $662.60
hero: $211
BB: $754

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is SB with ks kh
2 folds, CO (poster) checks, Button raises to $20, hero raises to $88, 2 folds, Button calls.

Flop: 5h :10s 8h ($184, 2 players)
hero is all-in $123, Button calls.

Turn: js ($430, ...
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Posted by: phatlad at November 30, 2006, 2:04 pm
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
jack.duck wrote: thats about 1100 to 1 if my math is right, thats a broken keyboard or mouse.

Your math was off a little. It's a hole in the wall.
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Posted by: MrGato at November 30, 2006, 1:20 pm
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
Here's one that bothered me enough that I quit the site. 7-Card Stud, 1/2, 1st hand of my session. I'm in late possition with 3h,7h, and Jh showing. The bring-in and a 9d have limped so I raise to try to take it right there. The 9d calls. 4th street Kh (me), 2c (villian). I bet, he calls. 5th st. Ah (me), 2s (villian). Bet, call. 6th st. 5s (me), Kd (villain). Again bet call. 7th street I bet he raises and it goes to cap. He turns over 7d,Qd,9d,2c,2s,Kd,Ad. I've probable seen worse than this but because it was my 1st hand of a session it really put me out.
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Posted by: DrStrange at November 30, 2006, 9:36 am
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
Be very glad it wasn't NL

As for odds - First off you need to catch a PP 55-AA (~5%)

Then the flop has to come giving you top set plus plus three to a straight (~2%)

Then one of the nine players has to hold the other two straight cards (~11%)

Then villian has to decide to play these crap cards (~100%)

Say ~9,000 for one hand or 81 million to one for back to back hands.

DrStrange
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Posted by: PokerBonusWhore at November 30, 2006, 9:14 am
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
While you guys are on the subject of math what do you think the odds of this are. Last night on Stars playing 1/2 limit in back to back hands I flop top set and lose to a flopped str8. This has to be millions to 1 for this to occur.

Hand 1 - I have 8's. Flop is 458. Villain has 67.
Hand 2 - I have 9's. Flop is 689. Villain has 7 10 in BB.

I almost threw the laptop out the window.....
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"You Can Never Lose Playing With House Money"
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Posted by: Doc$ holiday at November 30, 2006, 7:49 am
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
if my math is right, thats a broken keyboard or mouse[/quote]

Classic
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'If it wasnt for luck id win them all' this would be true just replace (them all) with, nothing.
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Posted by: jack.duck at November 30, 2006, 2:51 am
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
the number i came up with was actually 1081. 47/2*46=1081 45/2*44=990 not much difference, made me think though.
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68% of republicans dont believe in evolution. on the other hand, 5% of monkeys dont believe in republicans
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Posted by: moo321 at November 30, 2006, 2:34 am
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
I believe a "perfect" (two exact cards) draw is 989 to one.
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Posted by: jack.duck at November 30, 2006, 1:21 am
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
thats about 1100 to 1 if my math is right, thats a broken keyboard or mouse.
_________________
68% of republicans dont believe in evolution. on the other hand, 5% of monkeys dont believe in republicans
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Posted by: krummpoker at November 30, 2006, 12:59 am
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
phatlad wrote: .5/1 NL
I'm on the button with A J. Four limpers. I call.

Flop: AJJ
Checked around to me. I bet $2. SB, who has me covered (and I have $125), pushes all in. Everyone folds. I instacall.

Turn: 3
River: 4

He flips over 52


I'd quit.
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Posted by: SnakeNdGrass at November 30, 2006, 12:54 am
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
phatlad wrote: .5/1 NL
I'm on the button with A J. Four limpers. I call.

Flop: AJJ
Checked around to me. I bet $2. SB, who has me covered (and I have $125), pushes all in. Everyone folds. I instacall.

Turn: 3
River: 4

He flips over 52


urs wins
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Toilet Cookie: "And if I wanted something to pump me up it'd have to be "Never Scared" by BoneCrusher (even though I would in fact be scared). That song gets me pumped to the point that I'd punch a 5 year old flush in the jaw."
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Posted by: phatlad at November 30, 2006, 12:17 am
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
.5/1 NL
I'm on the button with A J. Four limpers. I call.

Flop: AJJ
Checked around to me. I bet $2. SB, who has me covered (and I have $125), pushes all in. Everyone folds. I instacall.

Turn: 3
River: 4

He flips over 52
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Posted by: m_reed05 at November 29, 2006, 11:39 pm
Topic: Now that is just ridiculous --> Full-blown Monkey Tilt Forum: Bonus Whores
Absolute Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players

Stack sizes:
UTG: $280.60
Hero: $78.70
CO: $232.65
Button: $75
SB: $70
BB: $188.50

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG+1 with kd kh
UTG raises to $7, Hero raises to $22, 2 folds, SB calls, 2 folds.

Flop: 6h 5c 8s ($53, 2 players)
SB is all-in $48, Hero calls.

Turn: jd ($149, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $149)


River: jc ($149, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $149)


Results:
Final pot: $149
SB Shows 10s Js
Hero Shows Kd Kh



Ok that sucked. To make it worse, the player left the table as soon as the hand was over. The worst hit and run I've ever been involved in. But I did realize how much different a player I am now. It really didn't bother me much. I didn't go on tilt. I did however look him up on the user finder (not because I was pissed, but because I realized how easy ...
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