Casino Talks

Posted by: HKGambler at October 30, 2001, 9:34 am

Topic: Twin Aces is a crooked operation! Forum: Winner Online

After deeper thoughts, I obviously become to side with the claim that 37 consecutive non-black in Roulette or 26 non-six in Sicbo is statistically impossible.

Let talk on the roulette case, double-zero kind. Mathematically, the probability of getting a non-black at one time is 10/19. To be 37 times IN A ROW, it would then be: 10/19 to the power 37. Ordinary calculators will not help you with an answer, by performing on MS Excel there came this extremely micro decimal, 0.00000000004854. Verbally, it is one in 20.6 billion.

What does the figure mean in real life? Well, we all have 24 hours a day. Subtracting 8 hours allowable for sleep, yes a young man like me needs 8 hours for a thorough sleep. Subtracting 1 hour for the 3 meals, assuming normal chewing rate. Subtracting 1 hour for moments with the toilet or bathroom, assuming no constipation problem. The rest 14 hours is entirely fixed for a hell-like, non-stop, intensive play. 2 turns a minute. 120 turns an hour. A total of 1680 turns a day. During that 14 hours, no phone calls, no online chats, of course! Ahh, for those who are not married by the time, I am sorry, forget about it, cos' you got no time for a date.

Carrying on with such an intensive play, it takes 33595 years for a person, or 33595 persons for a year, to EXPECT one such encounter of 37 consecutive non-black, statistically.

One funny thing about statistics is that when it says statistically impossible, it doesn't mean it cannot happen soon. Or the reverse. Just like a statistic tells that one is supposed to encounter a plane crash after travelling say 2,500,000 miles in the air. My friend has already travelled that mileage. Does he need to worry for his next trip, or simply quit aeroplane forever? I tell him not to, since every plane is flooded with newbies who still have to wait for another 50 years to fulfill that mileage quota required for a decent fall.

As in the case of 26 consecutive rolls in Sicbo without seeing a six, that too it is expected to take 109.4 years to happen, about 307 times shorter though.

Perhaps it is ery fortunate for Spear and Djeff to isualise one such incredible event which should occur in many many gambling lifes after. Congratulate on the good luck, wishing same will do to the BIG LOTTO betting.

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