Casino Talks

Posted by: KX at August 12, 2003, 6:08 am

Topic: Geisha Lounge has messed up game of Red Dog Forum: Winner Online

Quote:

That is indeed a good find!

Lol, yes ery. While playing "hundreds of hands" he found that you lose too often with a queen upcard.

Let's say he played 500 hands. Of these 500 3/51 should have been occasions with two of the same card. That is approx 16. 484 hands remaining. Of these 24/169 should be "spread 0". That is approx 69. 415 hands remain. Of these approx 85% does not include a queen. Thus approx 62 hands remain. I don't know exactly how many hands you win on average in Red Dog, but I would say approx 30%. Thus he should have won about 19 hands with a queen showing. He won some of these hands, but not as many as he expected.

It would have been quite surprising if none of the upcard results deviated significantly from expectation. In this case it's not even certain that it was a large deviation from the 19 expected.

Nice find? I don't think so.

[This message has been edited by KX (edited 08-12-2003).]

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