| Posted by: hhcfreebie at August 11, 2003, 9:43 am | | Topic: Who has experiences with Intercasino Roulette? Forum: Winner Online |
Quote: Originally Posted by Clayman:
Although I agreed with your number of 1 in 32 for hitting a number 3 times or less in 310 spins on a 37-number wheel, using the same methodology as I did for that, I definitely get 563,175 to 1 for hitting one number 6 times or less in 1000 spins on a 38 number wheel.
Not that it really matters. Like you, I tend to disbelieve it as true given the rarity of the event actually occurring.
The method I used to calculate odds are posted as a link. Please check my formula and see if there is any difference.
Quote:
ACC - If what you meant by "chances of 1 number to appear in 310 spins is once in 500" is "if I played the same number for 310 spins on a 38-number wheel, what are the chances of that number hitting exactly one time?" the answer is 1 in 465 and 1 in 567 for a 37-number wheel. If what you meant is that number hitting 1 or fewer times, the chances are 1 in 232 & 1 in 284 for a 37-number wheel.
When I try to calculate your problem, chance of hit 1 time exactly in 310 spin, for 38 wheel is 1 in 477 and 1 in 583 for 37 wheel.
The chance of hitting 1 or less in 310 spin is 1 in 425 for 37 wheel and 1 in 520 in 38 wheel. I got the same results from MS excel and Linux "open office excel".
Are you using normal distribution function to calculate the odds? It is ery inaccurate when the odds are ery small. Maybe you are using calculators instead of excel?
One of us got to be wrong.
------------------
online gambling "watcher".
[This message has been edited by hhcfreebie (edited 08-11-2003).]
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