| Posted by: toead at March 22, 2005, 4:31 am | | Topic: Folding AA pre-flop Forum: Card Chat |
If nine other people are all in in front of you on the first hand, that's just crazy first of all, but what's crazier is that at best, you're only 20% or so to win the hand and take the prize money right there. If you're playing a ten player single table where 50% of the prize money is awarded to first place, you're getting an even money bet (you're 4 to 1 to win 4 to 1 money--actual winnings, not chips that is). But that's the best possible case. If one or both of your aces aren't live (which seems more likely since 9 people are already in) you could be getting worse than 9 to 1 odds to win 9 to 1 in chips, which is horrible. If you fold this first hand, you at least get second or third place (possible split pot) instead of getting your aces busted because you took bad odds.
The firstcomment was about 4 hands all-in before you, which is a tougher decision, because you're getting about 1.5 to 1 odds with that specific example (KJ, QQ, 99, 67) and a chance to take 1/2 the chips in play and probably 1st place if you win. But same thing here....If you don't like being 1.5 to 1 (or maybe even 2.5 to 1) for all your money on the first hand, just drop it and wait for a better spot. Personally, I would be likely to call here.
Does that make any sense?
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