| Posted by: Bill_Hollorian at July 7, 2005, 8:58 pm | | Topic: Bluffing Theory part deux Forum: Card Chat |
Wow, great stuff everyone Thank you.
Reagarding the king, I concede, the line was supposed to say bet:
How about betting / calling with the king? You must once in a while.. How often?
Sorry, my bad, let's not let it throw us off thread. Kudos to those that caught that.
-Formulas have been eluded to , someone said a bluff attempt should be tried less than 50%. That works
In this case we need to bluff 4 out of the 10 times that we receive the Q.
I'l try to show some math:
2 ouf of 3 times we will receive either, an A or a Q.
When our opponent holds the K he has a 50 50 decision. It is currently a zero sum game. He is correct to call 50% of the time.
We announce that we will bluff 4 out of the 10 times we receive the q.
Now he is forced to call more than 50 percent of the time. we have turned his coin flip into a negative expectation for him.
But wait the king has some options to defend against this, how does he turn this negative e into a positive one?
Bill
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