| Posted by: ALawPoker at July 7, 2005, 9:39 am | | Topic: Bluffing Theory part deux Forum: Card Chat |
I know you don't want to hear "it depends," but it somewhat does. It depends on what type of player your opponent is and what he expects from you.
That being said, I'll try to give you a mathematical answer. If you have the queen you should bluff less than half the time. I figure, there's a 50/50 shot whether he has the ace. If he has the ace, there is a 100% chance he calls or raises; if he has the king, there is a greater than 0% chance he calls or raises. Exactly what is the best amount of time to bluff with the queen depends on your opponents propensity to call with the king.
Bluffing with the king? Seems like you shouldn't ever. If he has an ace he'll pick you off and if he has a queen he'll fold.
It's an interesting post. Bill, would you mind adding a betting structure to this abstract situation. (i.e. Limit betting, with a SB and a BB, we are on the button and acting first.) I think it would make it easier to come to a definitive conlusion.
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