Casino Talks

Posted by: Bill_Hollorian at July 6, 2005, 8:32 am

Topic: Bluffing Theory part deux Forum: Card Chat

Sure everything is situational. Here is something to discuss.
For the stuff below ther are a few conditions.
1.) No tells- You may not say it depends on the read I got. Imagine the guy is in a coma. Tells are overated, a part of the game for sure, but should be used carefully in only marginal situations.

But Im talking about the mathematics of bluffing.

Let's say you only have 2 cards lying around the house 1 ace and 1 king, and a bunch of chips. You shuffle and deal, one guy bets, the other guy folds right?
The ace bets and the king folds.
Now you find a third card. You can now gamble, why because you can bluff, because you have added the element of imperfect information. OK so lets say the third card is a Q.

1.) Ace should always bet, he has the nuts. And if his opponent has the king the king may raise, thinking the guy with the Ace may have the Q, and is trying to bluff.
2.) This is where most of us find ourselves in most situations. The second nuts. there is one hand that can beat us and one that can't.

3.) Should the queen bluff 100 percent of the time? No
should the queen never bluff? NO
so how often should you bluff when you get the queen?

3b) How about bluffing with the king? You must once in a while.. How often?

Bluffing theory part three will be how to defend against bluffing theory.

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