Casino Talks

Posted by: Bill_Hollorian at July 21, 2005, 5:47 pm

Topic: The Gap Theory Forum: Card Chat

Do you all feel that the semi-bluff draw play is becoming less aluable with new landscape of players?

I am do some math here, and am starting to conclude that drawing semi-bluffs have lost the EV that used to be a definate solid play. For the play to have a +ev, you give yourself 2 ways to win. YOur hand improves, or you get your opponent to fold.
But, you can not bluff an inexperienced player. In other words you are losing the ery advantage to using the semi-bluff. You do not have 2 ways to win. They won't fold, so you now must improve. That changes the equation, exactly how I don't know.

Any thoughts?

Bill

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