| Posted by: F Paulsson at March 20, 2006, 12:55 pm | | Topic: Book Discussion: Theory of Poker, chapters 1-3. Forum: Card Chat |
Quote: Originally Posted by Threesixes
Yes, the raise was small and if the flop hit me like it did I stood to make a killing. I guess what I'm saying is that if I had flopped the trip aces I'm pretty sure I would have gotten all my money in on that hand too, Probably not all at once, but it would have ended up in there,so when it happens to me it will even out.
I would have, too. But if you actually KNOW that you're drawing to 10 outs, you won't be at all as willing to get your money in, even with trip aces. And that's what the fundamental theorem says: When you play it differently from how you should play it if you see all the cards, you lose. In this particular case, he lost, and his expectation is negative for this move.
In actuality, we rarely get to act with that much information, though, so all we can do is decide on a probable range for our opponents. In this case, QT was possible, but hardly probable. It's hard to say that he played it "wrong," but it's certainly possible to say that he would have played it differently had he seen all the cards.
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