| Posted by: Osmann at June 11, 2006, 11:21 am | | Topic: Chasing a flush pot odds Forum: Card Chat |
If your opponent is making a pot sized bet, you are getting the correct odds to call, based on your equity in the pot. However if your opponent knows you are on this draw, calling a potsized bet on the flop is huge -EV. Cause when the turn card comes a blank, your equity will only be half of what it was on the flop, so you can no longer warrant calling a potsized bet. This means that you since you don't see the river card, you were not given the correct odds to chase. So when you are calling a potsized bet on the flop, you are doing it because you hope your opponent will pay you off if you hit, wich makes it a decision based on implied odds, rather than pot odds. If you know your opponent is going to bet you out of the pot on the turn if a blank comes, it's only correct to call a ½ pot sized bet on the flop, based on the pot odds.
If your opponent is making an all in pot sized bet on the flop, calling would be the correct decision simply based on your equity in the pot.
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