Casino Talks

Posted by: Four Dogs at June 11, 2006, 1:40 am
Topic: Chasing a flush pot odds Forum: Card Chat

The problem with chasing a flush draws, as opposed to straight draw, is that the implied odds are usually low while most good players will recognize the possibility, therefore, it's more important to know your pot odds than with the straight because your unlikely to get much more than what's already in the pot. Your chances of filling either one of them are essentially the same but the implied odds for the straight draw muddy the mathamatics a bit.

The exact odds are as follow. 19.15% or 4.2:1 on the turn and 19.57% or 4.1:1 on the river which means that unless you know you can extract another bet from your opponent when you hit your flush, it's mathamatically incorrect to call more than a 1/3 pot bet. However, when calling an all in bet on the flop your odds are 34.97% so you need only 2:1 odds to call which means you can call up to a pot sized bet. In this case however, it's critical that you are getting the correct odds because there will be no implied odds to make up the difference for the majority of those times when you don't fill your flush.

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