Casino Talks

Posted by: Sandro17 at November 19, 2006, 8:31 am

Topic: counting the flop Forum: Card Chat

Quote: Originally Posted by mrsnake3695

Everyone knows that if you have an ace in your hand there is a 16% chance an ace will flop and if you have a big pocket pair there is an 84% chance an ace will flop.

Common knowledge

Let me explain mr. snake using my theory in practice

as you say an Ace hits the flop 16% of the time assuming you have on in your hand and no one else does in theirs.

now 100/16 is about 1/6

Now if you are dealt A K and an A hits the flop the chance of that happening WERE 1 in 6

now lets say you are dealt AJ right after that hand. The chances of an Ace hitting the flop again would be 1/6 x 1/6

or 1/36

Simple statistics.

Now for you unbeleivers who think that flipping a coin heads 10x in a row makes the chances of the next toss being less than 50/50 are correct.

BUT

the chances of you tossing a coin and getting heads 10 x in a row are 1/2 to the 10th power meaning that after the 9th consecutive coin toss (heads) I'm not betting that the next toss will be tails and my chances are 1/2 I'm betting that you cant hit heads 10x in a row making my odds of winning are 1024 to 1 a pretty good deal considering the fact that I'm getting 1 to 1 on my money.

Try it

get a coin stand up and toss it in intervals of 2 the chances of it landing heads 2x are 1/4 the chances of it landing tails 2x is 1/4 and the other 2/4 is when you get heads then tails.

I just put it into practice in poker.

Casino Classic
Get $500 free on the house!

Categories:

internet gambling casino bonus casino gambling video poker online casino play casino online gambling gambling odds casino slots online poker slots poker strategy poker tournaments internet poker casino game casino poker casino poker games online slots casinos

Links:

Movie Talks
Forum Extractor

Casino Classic.
Get $500 free on the house!