| Posted by: Bill_Hollorian at February 1, 2007, 10:41 pm | | Topic: Bayes statistics and poker Forum: Card Chat |
Cool huh.
47% is correct.
Imagine moving a line 37% based on 1 raise that a guy makes.
Regular statisitics go into convulsions with the concept of moving a line 37% after 1 trial.
This also begins to alude to the range of hands a person who is 47% a likely maniac is raising with. Anyone want to guess the distribution of hands he is raising with in this spot? Also, from the big blind what range of hands are you willing to defend with based on this new information?
Kudos to the responses above! cred points or whatever or you both.
Bill H.
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