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Posted by: hott_estelle at March 31, 2007, 6:04 am
Topic: Hypothetical WSOP card-reading software question (lol) Forum: Card Chat

90-99%

I would say 100%, but you did say average player. If you had said a ery experienced, pro player (not named Mike Matusow or Gus Hansen) I would have said it was an absolute certainty.

You have to take into account, those of you who said you might lose races, with this "ability" you wouldn't put yourself in races. You have the ability to see when you will have the best hands and when it is absolutely obvious that an all-in won't hurt. There is no need to go all-in about 25 times, like Joose said might happen. I doubt at any point in the tourney I would need to go all-in if I knew the holecards. Just steal nice pots, and when you know people are obviously bluffing at you, it'll be easy to push them off their hands.

Also, the reason why I think it'll be ery easy to win is, with this ability you will most certainly be the chip leader from the moment you win your first pot to the final hand of the tourney. Not just the chip leader, but the overwhelming chip leader throughout the tourney, at the final table, and then finally when you're HU when you might have to finally take some gambles (very calculated gambles) but with an overwhelming chip lead.

I think it is definitely quite certain for an average player with a basic straight forward strategy to win the main event by knowing the hole cards.

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