Casino Talks

Posted by: Dorkus Malorkus at July 13, 2005, 11:25 pm

Topic: Hand rankings Forum: Card Chat

Quote: Originally Posted by HoldemChamp

Statisically straights are easier than flushes.

But, the brings up another poker hand that I have always been curious about.

Isn't a A to 5 Straight Flush just as hard to get as a 10 to A straight flush? They are both closed on one end.

Now 2 to 6 throught 9 to K straight flush are all the sames odds.

But, I would think A to 5 straight flushes should be as hard to get as a Royal.

Just a thought that has been rattling around in my head for a few years.

Anyone care to give a shot at answering that.

Not really true - there are 4 ways to get an A-5 straight flush, (one way for each suit), and there are 4 ways to get any other specific straight flush (e.g for a flush from 2-6 there's still only one way for each suit). Just because you can't get a straight flush from say QKA23 suited doesn't make an A2345 straight flush any less likely than a 23456 one from a purely statistical way of thinking, and not taking into account the possibility of a person folding a hand (for example because 2345 suited with 8 outs to the straight and 2 to the straight flush is a stronger draw than A234 suited, with only 4 outs to a lower straight, and a single out to the straight flush).

Of course, a royal flush is just as likely to come up as any one particular given straight flush (i.e prob. of TJQKA suited = prob. of 45678 suited), but there are lots (comparatively) of different straight flush possibilities (5 high, 6 high etc..), making the royal 9 times less likely to come up than ANY straight flush.

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