Casino Talks

Posted by: twizzybop at October 29, 2005, 2:21 pm

Topic: How do you explain it? Forum: Card Chat

MORE BAD BEATS HAPPEN IN ONLINE POKER THAN IN
"REGULAR" OFFLINE POKER.

Literally, you'll see more bad beats happen in an
online poker game than you'll see at a local cash
game or in a casino.

If you play both online and offline poker, I'm
sure you agree with this statement.

So what's going on here? Why would it be this way?

There are two popular "theories"...

1. Online poker is rigged.

2. There are more hands per hour, therefore it's
an ILLUSION that there are more bad beats.

My opinion is that BOTH of these theories are
WRONG.

Here's why:

First off, I genuinely believe online poker is NOT
rigged. I mean, c'mon... Do you REALLY think these
multi-billion dollar casinos would need to RIG
hands?

They make their money from tournament entry fees
and rakes... and trust me, they're making plenty.

OK, so what about the second theory?

Well, I do agree that there are more hands per
hour in online poker than offline poker. There's
no disputing that.

But I don't think that's a good enough reason...

Because my belief is that there are MORE bad beats
that happen per X number of hands ONLINE than for
offline poker.

For instance, let's say you played 100 hands. And
let's say you caught two really bad beats for
every 100 hands at a casino. That's 2%.

In online poker, you're likely to catch FIVE or
even TEN of those really bad beats per 100 hands.
That's 5-10%.

So the fact that you're seeing MORE hands doesn't
explain the HIGHER PERCENTAGE of bad beats.

Still with me?

OK, so now let me give you MY "theory" about this.

It's not really a theory. Just good old simple
logic, actually.

Here it goes:

The reason there are more bad beats in ONLINE
poker is because the ery NATURE of online poker
leads people to PLAY DIFFERENTLY.

The CARDS and ODDS are the same.

It's the PLAYERS that aren't the same.

What I mean is that for online poker, a LARGE
portion of players adopt the style of
LOOSE-AGGRESSIVE.

Translation? Manic.

They act irrationally... play hands they shouldn't
play... and bet way too aggressively for most
given situations.

Why?

Because online poker isn't as "real".

The money isn't as real. I mean, heck... the
casinos give you so much "free" money when you
sign up, how COULD it feel real?

The cards aren't real. The chips aren't real. The
table isn't real. NONE OF THAT STUFF EVEN EXISTS.

All you see when you play online poker are some
silly little animations. And you hear some
"clickity-click" sounds of fake chips.

That's it.

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