Casino Talks

Posted by: Beriac at July 5, 2006, 12:03 pm
Topic: Is poker just luck Forum: Card Chat


Quote: Originally Posted by wsorbust

Is poker luck? It's obvious none of us truly know if it is or isn't luck, neverless the percentages.

Gotta disagree here. Poker is by definition a game of chance as it has random outcomes, so luck is clearly a factor. In the ery short run, luck is clearly a ery large factor. Deal me in for 1 hand against Phil Ivey and there is a statistically ery significant chance that I win it. Whereas deal me in for 1,000,000 hands against Phil Ivey and there is likely nil chance that I end up ahead.

I think we can all agree that poker contains a huge element of luck in the ery short term. And in the long term, I can tell you as something of a statistician that the success enjoyed by some of the pros -- both in tournaments and cash games -- is statistically significant and demonstrates that luck is not the only factor in the long run, maybe not even the major factor.

Thus I think we can say that luck matters in poker, and it matters a lot more over short periods than long periods.

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