Casino Talks

Posted by: Smilin at June 25, 2005, 4:09 am

Topic: Am I wrong or right? Forum: Card Chat

I'm not a numbers guy, but if I'm holding A9 and the flop comes AK3 and I bet the pot...say 500 and I'm holding about 4k chips. The turn is Q and I bet over 500 again. Only one in the pot with me. He's just calling. The river comes 4. I bet 1300 and he calls.

First off, what would you put him on?

Secondly, am I right that this person was either stupid or seriously lucky? He was holding 34.

The BB was 150 at the time. Was I betting too low?

I told him he was either stupid or seriously lucky. His response was "Hansen's way!" I responded that he should keep doing that, he will lose more often than not. (Here's where the numbers comes in) Does anybody know what the odds would be? How often would he catch a hand calling away with bottom pair? He said I was wrong that he would lose more often than not.
Give me some feedback. I probably should have put him all in on the turn.

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