Casino Talks

Posted by: vanquish at July 26, 2007, 12:08 am

Topic: Luck, what percentage? Forum: Card Chat

Quote: Originally Posted by rindhoops

You lot are puposley being ague, u know what I mean in context.

Poker is a game of skill and luck, it`s impossible to say mathmatically (even if I could spell it) but we can hazzard an intelligent guess as to what % is skill and what % is luck, can`t we?

Ok I`ll re-phrase;
What % of your game do you regard as skilled play as opposed to lucky play?

Actually, putting it that way I think I would estimate it more Skill-90 luck-10. I don`t have that many lucky escapes, but then again, I have plenty of hands I should of won according to the odds that lost through bad luck. so I`ll stick to my original estimate of 25% luck 75% skill after all.

I guess the extent of the luck part of a persons game depends on how s\he plays as well.

I wish I hadn`t started this thread now,it`s way over my head

Your context is still unclear since you use the word "play" too aguely. If by "play" you mean Hold 'Em as a whole (infinite hands), "luck" would be 0% since everyone's "luck" would balance out over a period of infinite runs. However, "play" could also mean 1 tournament, 1 cash session, 1 month, or 1 good run. Thus, "luck" can not be given a number without ery specific context.

ex: One tournament is about 90% luck and 10% skill, one year of poker play may be 10% luck and 90% skill, etc.

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