Casino Talks

Posted by: Boltneck at November 21, 2007, 7:39 pm

Topic: FILLING IN THE HOLES OF ONES GAME Forum: Card Chat

I'll give a simple example to try to demonstrate the point.

Your cards 9c Tc

Flop Ad 8h 7s

Player 1 bets £10
All other players fold
It's your turn to act
The total money in the pot is $30 (I'm being imaginative here and assuming there were some preflop bets)

You therefore have 8 outs (6h 6c 6d 6s Jh Jc Jd Js). 8 x 2 = 16
You've therefore got a 16% (odds of 5.25 to 1) chance of hitting a 6 or J on the turn

You need to bet $10 to win $30 - so your odds are 3 to 1.

Throw it away. You are getting 3/1 on a 5.25/1 shot.

You have a 32% chance (2 to 1) of hitting your open ended straight by the river (8 outs x 4 = 32%) but don't even think about it unless either you or the illain is all in. If you bet on the turn, based on a 32% chance of hitting your straight by the river, there could be another bet on the river which will make a complete dogs breakfast of the above calculations!

Hope this helps a bit.

Boltneck

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