Casino Talks

Posted by: combuboom at July 10, 2006, 8:25 pm

Topic: Is online poker rigged??? An investigation! Forum: Card Chat

I agree with you, Beriac, that many of these accusations come from players on tilt as well as players who underestimate the probability of a bad beat. Those were the reasons I personally tried to establish some sort of credibility in that the ast majority of these beats did not even involve me, but rather I observed them. I think this helps keep emotions out of it. Of course, I know I can't establish much credibility without numbers and only supplying general observations, but I wanted to make clear that I don't think it's an error in perception on my part. Without a large enough sample of hands, there's always a chance that it's just been a really bizarre, statistically improbable run of hands that would eventually even out.

I'd actually like to purely observe freerolls at Dream Poker and record every hand in which a player is all-in (lol, we know how easy that will be in a freeroll), record the hole cards, percentage to win pre-flop, and how often the river alters the outcome, make kind of a study out of it.

The problem with doing that is a) I probably don't have time to get a huge enough sample of hands that the results would be considered credible, and if I did it would take a ery, ery long time... and b) People would have to believe that I didn't alter the statistics and that everything was legitimate. So I guess it's probably not worth all the trouble and tedium.

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