| Posted by: ed209 at August 2, 2005, 5:55 pm | | Topic: Average cold streak for limit.. 100 BB normal? Forum: Bonus Whores | if your numbers are on point then your win rate is about $6 per 100 hands, which is 1.0-1.5BB/100 depending on which limit you've logged more time at. without the ability to judge either your pre or post-flop play, this number indicates that you can at least hold your own, though perhaps not dominate the tables you play. so then, the negative 100BB session you played, is that already factored in to your current $445 play profit figure, or was that just before the 100BB's down? either way, you blew somewhere between half or all of your in-play earnings of 7500 hands in a single day, so evaluation of some sort must be in order. unfortunately, with PT you then lack the ability to determine potential leaks in your starting hand selection, post-flop aggression, blind defenses and steals, whether you think you have leaks or not. and also you don't have any saved hands you can replay or share with others for feedback. if you raised preflop with AA and called down a flop check-raise to showdown, that's only 4-5BB's for each hand. even if that happened 5 times in a row, that's only a loss of 20-25BB's for the session. where are the other 75-80BB's lost coming from, and did you not win any hands of offset even part of this amount?
lets look at my "bad day" June 25th, 50c/$1 LHE full ring on party:
hands - 388
VP$IP - 22.68
PFR - 4.38
VP$SB - 47.73
W$SF - 25.00
W$SD - 36.84
win % - 7.73
amount lost - $65.13
BB/100 - negative 16.79
even with these numbers, there was no single hand where I lost more than 5.5BB in one shot. I see you refer to premium starting hands like AA as "great cards" as opposed to "great STARTING cards". that and complaining about them losing when you don't hit anything on the board may indiciate that you're playing them too aggressively without regards of the context of other people's hands. you'll just have to give more examples and/or statistics so we can try and find something to help you out. however I do understand that without you owning Poker Tracker, the ability to provide us with little more than arbitrary complaints may be slim. |
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