Casino Talks

Posted by: Mitch at November 24, 2007, 6:37 pm
Topic: Another interesting NL50 hand at iPoker Forum: Bonus Whores
Hmmm.

Well i think you are up against atleast one set possibly 2. But i guess it is more likely to be 1 set and maybe something like 55, 77-99 or 2 pair.

Flush draw? i'm wondering if either one has the flush draw, would villain 2 raise that much with a flush draw? Villain 1 could have the flush draw i guess.

I push here, i think willain 2 has a set and is calling anything and villain 1 well i really don't know.

If Villain 1 had a flush draw:
Villain 1 would have to call 45 into 102 assuming villain 2 calls so he would be getting 2.26-1 so assuming he has a flush draw he may call even though it is a -ev play. And once factoring in the chance that Villain 2 folds this play is even more -ev.

Hence i think you push here hoping that Villain 1 calls with a flush draw and villain 2 calls with a set or any combo of flush draws and sets, straight draws etc.

You will lose the hand a decent percentage of the time assuming both call but it is definately +ev.

If you get one player to fold you are in good shape, but i am pretty happy if i take it down in this spot aswell.

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